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    Inflation; Is the Worst Yet to Come?

    Strategic Advisor Board

    As the world economy teeters on the brink of another recession, inflation is looming as a major threat. Despite near-zero interest rates and quantitative easing, prices are rising at an alarming rate. So, inflation Is the Worst Yet to Come?


    In fact, Inflation is one of the biggest problems facing the world today. It erodes the purchasing power of the average person. And makes it harder to pay off debts and build a savings account while making it difficult to plan ahead. But how bad can inflation really get?


    Inflation; Is The Worst Yet To Come?


    Well, according to some experts, we may be heading for a period of hyperinflation. This is when prices increase so rapidly that the currency effectively becomes worthless.


    Hyperinflation can cause widespread panic and economic collapse. It often follows a period of political or economic turmoil, such as war or a financial crisis. Russia Ukraine war led to a period of hyperinflation!


    So, is the worst yet to come? It's hard to say for sure. But with inflationary pressures building, it's something to keep an eye on.


    What Are the Effects Of Inflation?


    1. Rising prices


    When the inflation rate increases, the price of everything rises. It may be good news for people who are saving money, but it's bad news for those who use credit cards. The rising prices mean that the debt becomes much harder to pay off. In fact, if the inflation rate rises to 20%, the debt may become impossible to repay.


    2. Lost purchasing power


    If the inflation rate rises to 7%, then the purchasing power of one Dollar will decline by 5%. That means that you will be able to buy fewer goods and services. If the inflation rate rises to 10%, the buying power will decline by 8%.


    3. Declining real estate values


    One of the most common effects of inflation is the decrease in real estate value. The value of the real estate is determined by many factors, including population growth, income levels, and the availability of jobs. Therefore, the value of the real estate will continue to decline.


    4. Less money in circulation


    If the inflation rate increases, saving money will become easier. It means that less money will be available for spending. In fact, the amount of money in circulation in the US has decreased since 2008. If the inflation rate reaches 12%, the amount of money in circulation will drop by 12%.


    5. Interest rates will rise


    The Federal Reserve will be forced to raise interest rates if the inflation rate increases. Higher interest rates will make borrowing money more expensive. In addition, higher interest rates will make it harder for the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy.


    Steps To Avoid Inflation?


    • Step 1: Define inflation: Define what you mean by inflation. Inflation is the increase in the price of goods and services over time.
    • Step 2: Look at the price history: Look at the price history of the goods and services you want to buy. What is the average price? How often does it change?
    • Step 3: Be patient: Don't buy right away; wait for a better deal.
    • Step 4: Check your budget: Check your budget to see how much money you have available to spend on this purchase. You may need to consider buying something else if you don't have enough.
    • Step 5: Determine your savings. Determine how much you're saving for your home. Determine how much you're saving for your car. Determine how much you're saving for your groceries. Determine your savings.


    What Can You Do to Protect Yourself From Falling Prices?


    If you're concerned about inflation, there are several things that you can do to protect yourself from falling prices.


    1: Buy less expensive items


    It's hard to say the right amount of money to spend on each item. But if you're spending more than you usually would, it could be a good idea to consider buying less expensive items.

    The lower price items will generally last longer too. So, you'll need to weigh up whether you can save money by buying a cheaper item.


    2: Save for a rainy day


    One of the best ways to protect against rising prices is to invest your money in savings.


    As the Dollar's value drops, so will the value of your savings. It means that you'll have more money to pay for other things.


    Of course, this doesn't mean you should save all your money. But it is a way to protect yourself against inflation.


    3: Shop around


    Another way to protect against rising prices is to shop around. Many people don't realize that their shopping habits can actually lead to higher prices.


    For example, if you regularly spend £30 at your local supermarket, but the prices are much lower at another nearby store, then you might be better off shopping at the second store.


    4: Avoid debt


    If your finances aren't in order, you might not want to start spending more. One easy way to keep your finances under control is to avoid taking out any debt. In many cases, you can easily get a loan to help you make a big purchase or pay for living expenses. It can be a good idea to avoid taking on debt if you want to keep your money in control.


    5: Plan ahead


    Planning how you're going to pay for something can help to think about how you will pay for it. If possible, make sure that you'll be able to pay for the item by a certain time. It could help to stop you from buying items that you're going to struggle to pay for.


    6: Make a budget


    In many cases, it's not always possible to plan ahead. However, one of the best ways to make sure that your finances are in good shape is to make a budget. By making a budget, you can work out exactly how much you can afford to spend each week. If you stick to your budget, you'll be able to plan ahead and avoid unnecessary spending.


    7: Don't buy anything you don't need


    There are plenty of things that you can buy that don't really do you any good. For example, if you buy an expensive television but rarely watch TV, then you might find that you're spending more money than you need to. If you want to make sure that you're using your money wisely, it's worth thinking about what you really need. Buying something that you don't really need can often lead to a lot of money spent on bills.


    8: Make savings part of your regular life


    There are different ways to save money. For example, you could consider making savings a regular part of your life. When you're thinking about saving money, you should try to save as much as you can each month.


    What Are the Causes Of Inflation?


    Inflation is caused by the rise in the price of goods and services which are not properly controlled.


    When there is a sudden increase in the price of commodities, it causes inflation. The increase in the price of commodities is caused by many reasons, including an increase in the production costs, demand for the commodity, increase in the supply of the commodity, etc.


    Increase in the supply of commodities


    There are two types of factors that increase the supply of a commodity. One is the increase in the quantity supplied, and the second is the reduction in the quality of the commodity.

    For example, if the demand for cotton rises sharply due to the need for more clothes, it increases the cotton supply in the market. This increase in the supply of cotton leads to the rise in its price.


    Another example is the production of more cement. With the same amount of raw material, it produces more cement. It results in an increase in the supply of cement in the market. It causes the price of cement to increase.


    Increase in demand for the commodity


    When there is a sudden increase in demand for a commodity, it causes inflation.


    The demand for a commodity increases when there is a sudden increase in the number of people who need the commodity. For example, there is a sudden increase in demand for clothes because there is a sudden rise in the number of people who go out to work.


    Increase in the supply of the commodity


    If the production cost of the commodity rises, it will increase the supply of the commodity in the market. The rise in the production cost of the commodity can be due to a variety of reasons such as the rise in the wage bill, increase in the raw material prices, increase in the taxes, etc.


    How Can Businesses Fight The Inflation Turmoil?


    Businesses can take a number of steps to fight inflation and keep prices in check.


    1. Review your business model: The first thing businesses need to do is review their business model and identify areas where they can cut costs. This could involve streamlining processes, renegotiating supplier contracts or reducing overheads.
    2. Increase efficiency: Improving efficiency is another way businesses can fight inflation. This could involve investing in new technology or training staff to be more productive.
    3. Pass on the cost to customers: If businesses are unable to cut costs, they may need to pass on the cost to customers in the form of higher prices. This could be done through price increases or surcharges.
    4. Hedge against inflation: Businesses can also hedge against inflation by investing in assets that are likely to increase in value during periods of inflation. This could include property, gold or commodities.
    5. Seek alternative sources of funding: Businesses may also need to seek alternative sources of funding such as venture capital or private equity if they are unable to finance their operations through traditional means.
    6. Reduce debt: Reducing debt is another way businesses can fight inflation. This could involve refinancing loans or negotiating with creditors to restructure debt.
    7. Cut dividends: Businesses may also need to cut dividends in order to free up cash to invest in other areas of the business.
    8. Invest in inflation-proof assets: Another way businesses can fight inflation is by investing in assets that are not impacted by inflation. This could include investing in companies that are engaged in essential industries such as healthcare or food production.


    How Is Inflation Measured?


    Inflation is measured using the inflation rate, which is defined as the percentage change in prices relative to previous prices. In the past, inflation was usually measured using the Consumer Price Index (CPI). There are two ways to measure inflation:


    1. Using a fixed benchmark
    2. Using a floating benchmark


    Using a fixed benchmark


    Using a fixed benchmark involves comparing the current inflation rate with a similar rate that occurred in the past. For example,


    • In 2013, the CPI inflation rate was 1.3%, whereas, in 2009, it was 2.6%. Therefore, we say that the inflation rate has fallen by 0.3% since 2009.
    • However, if we compared the inflation rate in 2013 to the inflation rate in 2008, we'll see that the inflation rate has increased by 2.3%. Therefore, we say that inflation has risen by 2.3% since 2008.


    When the inflation rate falls, this usually means that the economy is improving because the growth rate of the economy has improved. If the inflation rate rises, it may mean that the economy is worsening because the economy is not growing as fast as it should.


    Using a floating benchmark


    The second way to measure inflation is by using a floating benchmark. A floating benchmark is where the inflation rate is compared with the average inflation rate over a certain period of time.


    • For example, if we compare the inflation rate in 2013 to the average inflation rate over the past 10 years, we'll see that the inflation rate has fallen by 1.7%.
    • However, if we compare the inflation rate in 2013 to the average inflation rate over the past 5 years, we'll see that the inflation rate has risen by 0.3%.


    The main advantage of using a floating benchmark is that it smooths out any short-term changes in the inflation rate.


    Ending Remarks


    Inflation is a very important concept in economics. It is a measure of how fast prices are rising in an economy. It can be caused by a variety of factors, such as the rise in the cost of production, an increase in taxes, or an increase in the money supply.


    Businesses shall take measures to ensure that their prices do not increase too rapidly, as this may lead to a decrease in demand for their products. Governments also need to be aware of the inflation rate, as it can have a large impact on the economy.


    In conclusion, the world economy is in a deflationary spiral. The reason is that central banks have been buying up assets to prevent inflation from rising. As a result, we are now in the midst of the worst inflation crisis since the Great Depression.

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